> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://nfa.gitbook.io/nfa-docs/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://nfa.gitbook.io/nfa-docs/appendix/responsible-use.md).

# Responsible use

## Responsible use

NFA is a forecasting tool. It is worth being precise about what that means, and what it does not.

{% hint style="warning" %}
**Not Financial Advice. NFA is a tool, not an oracle.** It produces a probability and a reasoning trace, then gets out of the way. It never tells you what to do, and it never places a trade for you. The decision, and the risk, are always yours.
{% endhint %}

### What a forecast is

A forecast is a calibrated probability, not a prediction of what will happen. A market NFA calls at 70% is one where the other 30% is expected to happen roughly three times in ten. Being well-calibrated means being wrong a predictable share of the time. A single forecast, even a confident one with a strong quality badge, can be wrong.

### Where the risk sits

* **Trading prediction markets involves real financial risk**, including the loss of what you put in.
* **Availability follows the venue's rules.** Trading is subject to Polymarket's own regional restrictions, which NFA does not override.
* **Nothing here is a solicitation** to trade any market or buy any token. This documentation, the app, and the forecasts are informational.

### Using it well

The honest way to use NFA is as one more input: a rigorous, independent, self-checked second opinion that you weigh alongside your own judgement. It is at its best when it disagrees with you for a reason you can read, check, and decide on for yourself.


---

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